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With a weak player. you don't try to make subtle moves that'll be far beyond his capacity to understand or appreciate. you play fundamentally better rather than strategically better ; than a weak player. in a word, you outplay him. 2. against a higher grade player . someone who could be thinking along the same lines as you ; .you must mix up your play. sometimes you make an obvious play against a strong player as you always would against a weak player ; . and sometimes you go at it another way and make a play that's not so obvious. most of the time . you have to put a play on outmanoeuvre ; a strong player. in a nutshell, that's all there is to it. and it seems simple and logical enough. there's even very good players who know that that's what they're supposed to do. but knowing something . and being able to execute it are not the same thing. as i said, i saw some world class poker games rule players make mistakes in the 1977 world championship tournament that only an idiot would make. there was a particular player who entered the tournament for the first time . and, almost immediately, it was easy to see that he was a weak player. he was the supreme example of a calling station a player who's next to impossible to bluff. even though i had never played against him before, it didn't take me very long to recognize the type of player he was. i've played with thousands just like him throughout my career. so i knew what to do when i was involved with him in a pot. more precisely . i knew what not to do. i was not going to try to bluff him. not even once. i quickly decided that if i was in the pot with him, i was going to show him a hand. and, if he got lucky enough to beat me . well, he was going to beat a hand. my mind was made up about that. but there were other very good players in the tournament who tried to run over him tried to force him out of a pot. they would bluff at him constantly . and they were rarely successful. if he had anything at all . he looked 'em up. as i said, he was the ultimate calling station. he looked enough of them up often enough to finish far higher than he was legitimately supposed to. he was probably about a 1000 to 1 dog to finish as high as he did. the reason he did was simply because so many players and some very experienced ones just handed him their money. they almost literally gave it away to him. at they should not have done is try to bluff him. it takes an idiot, in my book, to bluff at a man who you know is going to call you. you simply can't bluff a bad player . because a bad player will play when he's got some kind of a hand and will pass when he doesn't have a hand. i mean . it's clear cut. you don't have to be an expert psychologist to figure out what he's doing. all you have to know is if he's in the pot. he's got something. and.
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I dont think making the call is that big of deal. but, repeatedly calling, over and over in these spots can be a leak. the main problem i see that leads up to this is the lack of player profiling to which they dont 'know' the player s ; well enough to fold. too many times we've seen the table text. along with 'no reads on anyone'. why not? even after a few orbits. if you dont know, call. but eventually, you have to get a line on a guys play and what he's likely betting. if it's gone a few orbits, and you dont have a decent starting line on the opponents play, there's a nice flaw in one's game. which gets covered up by the statements like the one above. there comes a time when you have to read the opponents and act on that read. many on here also ignore a great read and call anyways due to the pot size. hope this makes sense. crazyeyez i don't find much value in thinking that you have a 9.3% chance of winning compared to thinking that your hand wins about 5%-15% of the time. to me that's like saying you don't worry much about whether you're a 1 bb player or a 1.5 bb hr player. the fact that you base your calculations on imperfect information is nothing new. that's what reading hands and reading players is all about. but you make the best read you can, and then act accordingly mathematically. for some given situation, when i started playing poker, i could probably only estimate my chances accurately to within, say, 20%. now, for the same situation, maybe i'm correct to within 10%. got might be good to within 5%. that's a lot of extra ev you're grinding out. it seems to me like the only way to keep getting better at it is least try. if i'm satisfied with just "ballparking" it, i'm leaving a lot of money on the table. - a rookie's 2 cents. el grande how do you know that your estimations are within 10% now when they were 20% before? how are you measuring that? all you can say is that you believe your guesses are more accurate now. and that determination is completely done by feel. if you went back and looked at a hand you played you could say "i believed i had a 10% chance of being good there." let's say you called that hand and won. how do you know that you indeed had a 10% chance and hit your 10% shot or you actually had a 20% chance and hit it? there's only one way to prove that precise calculations help your win rate. decide on a robotic solid poker games rule playing method. play tens of thousands of hands using that method. take the same method but start making river decisions based on precise call estimations. make no other adjustments to your game. play tens of thousands of hands that way. examine the results. very difficult to do that. mortalnuts hi got -great post, and your point about the ev of these river calls over the long term is especially important. but . i've always assumed that when competent people talk about "not folding the big pots, " they're not talking about 10bb pots or 15bb pots, where i agree you ought to be able to do a pretty straightforward estimate of where you stand and whether the call is + ev. when i think of a "big pot, " where i tend to err on the side of calling and advise other people especially new players ; to do the same, i'm talking about the 25 or 30bb ones; here, i think the "tend not to fold" mantra is okay, for several reasons and online poker promotion.
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