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The global economy has developed with and through the dollar as the dominant currency, and there is no evidence to date that the only other remotely serious candidate, the euro, is about to replace the dollar in this respect. as of 2002, 65 per cent of central bank foreign exchange reserves were in dollars, as compared with only 15 per cent in euros; the dollar was used in over 90 per cent of transactions in foreign exchange trading, as compared with under 38 per cent in which the euro was used; almost 90 per cent of over-the-counter derivatives transactions globally involved the dollar, compared with only 42 per cent involving the euro.69 this is, however, primarily not an economic issue but an imperial one and neither europe nor japan has shown either the will or the capacity to displace the us from its leading role in the capitalist world. in contrast to the old paradigm of inter-imperial rivalry, the nature of current integration into the american empire means that a crisis of the dollar is not an `american' crisis that might be `good' for europe or asia, but a crisis of the system as a whole, involving severe dangers for all. to suggest, as arrighi does, that because the holders of american treasury bills are now primarily in asia we are therefore witnessing a shift in the regional balance of power, is to confuse the distribution of assets with the distribution of power.70 although traditional marxist theories of structural crises provide valid insights into the nature of these discontinuities, they sometimes tend to fetishize crises in the sense of abstracting them from history. as arrighi once argued, the economic crisis of the late nineteenth century was rooted in a capitalism very different from that of the 1930s or the 1970s in terms of class formation, industrial and financial structures, and state capacities.71 clinging to the notion that the crisis of the 1970s remains with us today flies in the face of the changes that have occurred since the early 80s.72 what kind of crisis of capitalism is it when the system is spreading and deepening, including through sponsoring another technological revolution, while the opposition to it is unable after three decades to mount any effective challenge? if crisis becomes `the norm', this trivializes the concept and diverts us from coming to grips with apprehending the new contradictions of the current conjuncture. we need to be careful not to try to counter the conservative conceit of the `end of history' by renewing predictions of the implosion of global capitalism. a future beyond capitalism is possible, and increasingly necessary from the perspective of social justice and ecological sanity, but capitalism is still in the process of being made. the american state has a privileged position in today's `making' of capitalism, albeit not an omnipotent one insofar as its rule must operate through other states. the nature of this empire its complexity, its incompleteness especially with regards to the third world, the fact that it and poker chip accessory.

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